2009年8月26日

10男10女的擇偶遊戲---對香港適婚女人的啟示

Discovery Channel 節目《The Science of Sex Appeal》裏的一個小實驗。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FB1oMfs8nWY

實驗:
10男10女。
每個人額頭上貼著一個數字,代表他們的吸引力指數(隨意,與外表無關)。
10分最高,1分最低。
自己看不到自己額頭上的分數。

各人要找一位異性配成一對,對方有權接受你,有權拒絕你;這當然與你頭上的分數有關。

實驗開始:
各人都傾向先向高分的異性下手(以伸手握手方式“示愛”),假如被高分的異性拒絕,才循步漸退地向低分的異性握手。

幾次實驗結果都證實分數相若的會配成一對,偏差是+/-一分,即是9分的女人只會跟10分,9分,或者最低8分的男人配成一對。

高分數的人,實驗一開始就會收到很多人“示愛”,他/她很快就會知道自己是高分的一群,有較大的選擇權,因此會很快和高分的異性pair-up,離開這個擇偶的“市場”,更絕不會屈就接受低分的異性。

而低分的人,一直嘗試向高分的人“示愛”,直到收到多番rejections之後才慢慢發現自己是低分的一群,此時高分的都已經離開了市場,剩餘低分的選擇。不過這是正常的,因為在perfect information底下,任何人都會與+/-1分的異性相配。

爲了瞭解女性的擇偶心理,製作人在3分的女性裝上了米高峰。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FB1oMfs8nWY

這個video的啟示是,一個3分的女人,在實驗初段,假如有一位4分的男士(理論上是the best she can get)向她示愛,但她認為自己可以“do better”,拒絕那位4分的男士的話;到實驗尾段,因為她耽誤了時間,連4分、3分的都被taken,她就會stuck with 2分的男士(the worst she would get)。

這個實驗對低分的人來說,keys are
1)爭取時間。越拖延時間,剩下的人選就越少。
2)盡快推測自己的分數,便可以越快向the Best you can示愛,然後pair-up。(當然,假如人家不接受也沒辦法。)

我想這個實驗是對香港適婚女人的一點啟示。

18 則留言:

陳大文部落 說...

呢個實驗雖然有點無聊,例如那十男十女基本上睇落都相當好樣,及他/她們的「分數」究竟是用什麼標準訂出來也不知道,但對「港式女士」來說,我強調,我沒說「港女」,是「港式女士 」,她們是不會明白的。

即是港式女士,永遠不明白「點解我唔可以用最少錢去六星級大酒店進餐」的道理。

或者說,不明白「爛橙是和一級靚橙是不同價錢」的道理。

.......

亞歷 說...

其實你覺得自己會是多少分數?

2005mhk18@gmail.com 說...

this is not the point of this blog post.

匿名 說...

現實生活中不只有一個分數

女士們可以做的就是在最短的時間內在自己最有潛力的頂目上升呢

匿名 說...

又幾岩喎~
時間真係唔等人~
erica..甘你幾時輪到你呀??

匿名 說...

公道d講句,你呢句:想起一句話:怎麼樣的偶像就會有怎麼樣的fans。(明確點說,就是偶像會因他/她的涵養,而吸引到不同氣質的fans。)
講得不太正確,皆因我都係stephy的fans,但我不會因別人對stephy不好的言論而破口大罵那個人,希望你明白一個fans的言論不能代表所有人,我想你朋友的說話也不能代表你的想法吧!對嗎?

Leona 說...

(1)爭取時間與(2)盡快推測自己的分數--看似顯淺的道理,這麼多人不明白

得把這文章廣傳予單身女友們

Clarence 說...

I think this game is similar to what the "Nash Equilibrium" talks about. It is explained quite nicely in the movie "A Beautiful Life"

匿名 說...

爭取時間與盡快推測自己的分數

點推測? 永遠都係睇得自己好好架喇
就算放下私心
往往都會因為驚推測自己既分數低左
而最後揀左低分既人
從而錯過左高分既人選

係你既就係你 唔係你就唔係你
好難靠自己掌握

匿名 說...

Not all people can evaluate their own market value but experience and common sense can tell.

For those who is still single at 30+ (I mean those who wants BF/GF, but never got one), 90% can't get one at the end. Exceptional cases happened on those who learnt and made some adjustment on themselves.

The most active "love hunting period" should be about 18 to 30. It's impossible to learn nothing from failure(s) in 12 years of time. If they have no adjustment made, their failure will be brought to their late 40s until someone "pick them up".

Sad

About Stephy... I can only say... It's an old news. No one cares much about Stephy (this dim star). Without that book-show news, she still needs Fong Nic Sun and Fu-Wing to bring topics for her on newspapers.

"Suen ba la".

One low intelligent and uneducated fan represents all fans or not, is not an issue anymore. Answer is too obvious. Will you question why the sun is not coming out from the west now?

梵影 說...

有邊個女人會認自己係低分先?
女人真係情願獨身都唔想同d唔順眼ge男人一齊。
同一個低分ge男人一齊,仲慘過自己一個啦。
我勸告所有知道自己是低分一族的女人,你地都係咪結婚,就算比你地嫁到人,都係過d唔快樂ge生活,何必呢?

Kenny 說...

That's the reason more and more Hongkongese choose mainlanders (Actually the quality/score of the mainlander is not bad)

匿名 說...

hmmm, i got a question: do these men and women know their own scores? or just men can see womens' and women can see mens'? seriously how are these points based on anyways, i see some good looking guys score 2, and a 10 guy is a no-no to me. i do somehow get the meaning of this experiment and just liked what erica said, but the scoring system is pretty vague, hope someone can answer me.

半空的書架 說...

一個不錯既實驗,其實唔洗一定10男10女,就算係全部男or 全部女都係可以得到差唔多結果。

如果想pair到高分,就一定要盡快同最高既分數接觸。如果係低分, 一直係到等, 等到最後先開始先同高分pair, 咪成日食lemon。

我覺得香港既港男港女既其中一個大問題, 就係大家都怕羞, 停留係小學男同男玩, 女同女玩, 無一個正式既機會男女共處, 好少有機會去同人pair。

其實當大家接觸多d人, 知道成個market有d乜野quality既貨,就易揀好多啦, 最少你見到差既都唔會衝埋, 咁咪少complaint lor。你唔跟熟個market, 緊係易入次貨啦。

匿名 說...

都係正常人的想法.. 就算知自己唔係A級女人, 有個李家誠咁既男人追, 有邊個唔會接受丫? 不過erica你講既都好有道理, 只不過要好有智慧先做到..

hkeric 說...

//盡快推測自己的分數

I guess you don't need to make a research to come up with this conclusion.

黄巢 說...

讀經濟的你﹐為甚麼硬要把失業問題用供應需求去解釋﹖

梵影講得對。

你假設了PERFECT INFORMATION﹐沒有想過戀愛市場的資訊從來都是不完整的。1至10分﹖條件能量化嗎﹖大家口味不同﹐用一維的量不能代表甚麼﹐又假設了標準是離散的﹐分佈是平均的。

雖然實驗是科學的﹐但是這是無實用價值的TOY MODEL。

好天氣 說...

The exam result is only true if we base on a hypothesis that men should pair up with women.

The truth is, as the bargaining power of both genders are balance right now, none of them would surrender...just like what proposed by the TV Ad. "Never settle for less"

There is growing tendency that HK male love to marry mainland girl, of which they place themselves at a advantageous position in such relationship.

And HK women, they tend to remain single...

Anyway this is the inevitable trend.

P.S. I am male. I must admit that I won't marry any ordinary mainland girl....just like buying priate goods. Beautiful package outside but empty inside.